Sorry loyal readers of the Ball Faces Blog, but I have to break from our usual theme to weigh in on this presidential election thing...
Barack Obama is a train that can't be stopped. Hillary's only chance is New Hampshire, and I don't think she has the message to get it done. She is going to go negative the next couple of days and try to tear him down and stop his momentum, but everytime she opens her mouth, people instinctively want to punch her in the face. He is going to win New Hampshire behind the support of independents. McCain and Obama are fighting for the support of independents in New Hampshire, but they are both strong enough that they can each win while splitting that vote. If turnout is high, Obama and McCain roll. McCain has been working NH hard, and has a lot of support up there, so I think he wins. Obama's message and his momentum carries him through NH. I actually think Obama wins pretty easily. New Hamphire will get it right, because McCain and Obama are the 2 best candidates.
If Obama does win in NH like I suspect, watch the black people galvanize like you wouldn't believe. They are nervous to support him right now because they don't really think that white people will vote for a black man to be President. Well he won Iowa, with a 94% white, 4% Hispanic and only a 2% black population. Now he goes into New Hampshire, and I have never seen a black person in New Hampshire. If he can win in those 2 places, they are gonna come out and support him. Nevada and South Carolina are next up and the wave of momentum will be too strong. 50% of the people in SC are black, he wins there by 25 points, at least.
His candidacy is appealing because he NEVER plays the race card. He's not angry or confrontational like Al Sharpton or Jesse Jackson. He is a new kind of black leader, who reaches out to white America instead of blaming them for the problems he and his race have experienced. It's a refreshing change.
Upcoming political blog posts
I have to weigh in on Iowa's ridiculous caucus system. Look for that in an upcoming blog entry.
Also, I actually just flipped by C-Span and watched in horror as Mike Huckabee played a concert at New England College in Henniker, NH. He played guitar in a 20 minute set playing such smash hits as "Twist and Shout" and "Mustang Sally", then he talked for about 3 or 4 minutes and then threw it to Chuck Norris, who opened his speech with "a couple of months ago, I had no idea who Mike Huckabee was...". And this guy thinks he's gonna be President? Look for my thoughts on the Huckster in an upcoming blog entry, but I'll be sure to post more Celebrity Reactions to the Joe Thornton trade to offset it. For more great musings about our political system and life in general, be sure to visit Tallent at Blogger? I Hardly Know Her...and now back to our regularly scheduled blog posting.
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